Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.154973 0.181255 0.210142 0.244180 0.283120 0.326204 0.377406
2025-12-21 0.107763 0.142249 0.184332 0.239133 0.308240 0.392093 0.501093
2025-12-28 0.085295 0.123258 0.173308 0.243391 0.338126 0.460750 0.630311
2026-01-04 0.071897 0.111987 0.168303 0.251932 0.371420 0.534163 0.770292
2026-01-11 0.061262 0.102007 0.162542 0.257166 0.398987 0.600724 0.905586
2026-01-18 0.052408 0.092804 0.155979 0.259427 0.421264 0.660532 1.035309
2026-01-25 0.044966 0.084373 0.149025 0.259540 0.439364 0.714717 1.160197
2026-02-01 0.038353 0.076094 0.140920 0.256345 0.451230 0.759575 1.273622
2026-02-08 0.032787 0.068651 0.133023 0.252174 0.460487 0.800337 1.382942
2026-02-15 0.027418 0.060606 0.122849 0.242572 0.459182 0.823298 1.464637
2026-02-22 0.025801 0.059604 0.125294 0.255608 0.497911 0.914992 1.665478
2026-03-01 0.022084 0.053650 0.117522 0.248713 0.500225 0.944735 1.763723
2026-03-08 0.018752 0.047997 0.109681 0.240965 0.500591 0.971820 1.860892
2026-03-15 0.016102 0.043388 0.103330 0.235388 0.504482 1.005519 1.972476
2026-03-22 0.014624 0.041247 0.101871 0.239534 0.527463 1.075547 2.154153
2026-03-29 0.013633 0.040113 0.102440 0.247948 0.559595 1.164824 2.377055
2026-04-05 0.012519 0.038455 0.101578 0.253108 0.585446 1.243843 2.585797
2026-04-12 0.011347 0.036417 0.099529 0.255336 0.605262 1.312387 2.778829
2026-04-19 0.010196 0.034200 0.096721 0.255448 0.620429 1.372573 2.959200
2026-04-26 0.009017 0.031662 0.092740 0.252298 0.628082 1.417992 3.113165
2026-05-03 0.007941 0.029199 0.088581 0.248187 0.633105 1.458182 3.258965
2026-05-10 0.006782 0.026214 0.082572 0.238723 0.624902 1.469942 3.347335
2026-05-17 0.006601 0.026382 0.085221 0.251572 0.669896 1.597824 3.683594